Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 45% of their games, both teams scoring in 41%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 42%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Bristol Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Exeter City: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Bristol Rovers's numbers over its games, Exeter City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Bristol Rovers's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (56%). In Exeter City's own 25 away matches read, 7 (28%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 42% of games.
The two sides
Bristol Rovers -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 50 (50%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 50 (42%). At home: 9 of its 25 (36%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 16 (32%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Bristol Rovers's own 50 matches read: Bristol Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Bristol Rovers itself held the lead in 14, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 25.
Exeter City -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 50 (40%); over 1.5 in 31 (62%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 20 of its own 50 (40%). Away: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 50 (32%); failed to score in 19 (38%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Exeter City's own 50 matches read: Exeter City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (38%). Exeter City itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 25.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.