Boreham Wood scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 46-60; Boston United scores heaviest in 46-60 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Boreham Wood's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Boston United is softest.
Boreham Wood: 50 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Boston United: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Boreham Wood scores most in the 76-90+ band (23 of 106); Boreham Wood concedes most in the 46-60 band (14 of 60); Boston United scores most in the 46-60 band (17 of 66); Boston United concedes most in the 76-90+ band (19 of 68). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Boreham Wood -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 2.1 and concedes 1.2 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 2.2 for and 1.1 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 106 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 13; 16-30: 20; 31-45+: 17; 46-60: 14; 61-75: 19; 76-90+: 23. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 23 of 106 (22%).
When it concedes
Of 60 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 14; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 12.
The first goal
Scored first in 37 of its 50 read -- then won 29, drew 6, lost 2; conceded first in 11 -- pulled back 2 wins and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 12 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 23 of its 50 read, winning 22 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 10.
Boston United -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.3 and concedes 1.4 a game over its last 49 league matches; away, 1.7 for and 1.5 against over 24.
When it scores
Of 66 scored across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 17; 61-75: 6; 76-90+: 16.
When it concedes
Of 68 conceded across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 14; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 19. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 19 of 68 (28%).
The first goal
Scored first in 20 of its 49 read -- then won 13, drew 5, lost 2; conceded first in 26 -- pulled back 4 wins and 6 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 19 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 11 of its 49 read, winning 10 of them; trailed by two in 8, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 10.
Built 18:32 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.