Boreham Wood v Boston United

National League, game week 4 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 63% of their games, both teams scoring in 60%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 49%. On the record this leans a goals match.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Boreham Wood: 50 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Boston United: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Boreham Wood's numbers over its games, Boston United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Boreham Wood's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (48%). In Boston United's own 24 away matches read, 12 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 49% of games.

The two sides

Boreham Wood -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 37 of its own 50 (74%); over 1.5 in 44 (88%); over 3.5 in 20 (40%). At home: over 2.5 in 17 of its 25 (68%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 50 (62%). At home: 16 of its 25 (64%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 50 (38%); failed to score in 2 (4%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Boreham Wood's own 50 matches read: Boreham Wood or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (56%). Boreham Wood itself held the lead in 23, winning 22. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.

Boston United -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 49 (51%); over 1.5 in 37 (76%); over 3.5 in 13 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 24 (54%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 49 (57%). Away: 16 of its 24 (67%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 49 (22%); failed to score in 13 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Boston United's own 49 matches read: Boston United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (39%). Boston United itself held the lead in 11, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24.

Built 18:32 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.