Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Aldershot Town: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Harrogate Town: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season in the League Two.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Aldershot Town's numbers over its games, Harrogate Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Aldershot Town's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 16 (67%). In Harrogate Town's own 24 away matches read, 9 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games.
The two sides
Aldershot Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 32 of its own 49 (65%); over 1.5 in 42 (86%); over 3.5 in 19 (39%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 24 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 49 (61%). At home: 15 of its 24 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 49 (14%); failed to score in 13 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Aldershot Town's own 49 matches read: Aldershot Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 30 (61%). Aldershot Town itself held the lead in 9, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 16 of 24.
Harrogate Town -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 49 (41%); over 1.5 in 35 (71%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). Away: over 2.5 in 8 of its 24 (33%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 49 (47%). Away: 13 of its 24 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 49 (18%); failed to score in 18 (37%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Harrogate Town's own 49 matches read: Harrogate Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (41%). Harrogate Town itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 24.
Built 00:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.