Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 77% of their games, both teams scoring in 82%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 20%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Fylde: 3 league matches in the bank. Forest Green Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Fylde's numbers over its games, Forest Green Rovers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Fylde's own 1 home matches read, one appeared in 0 (0%). In Forest Green Rovers's own 25 away matches read, 10 (40%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 20% of games.
The two sides
Fylde -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 3 of its own 3 (100%); over 1.5 in 3 (100%); over 3.5 in 2 (67%). At home: over 2.5 in 1 of its 1 (100%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 3 of its own 3 (100%). At home: 1 of its 1 (100%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 0 of its own 3 (0%); failed to score in 0 (0%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Fylde's own 3 matches read: Fylde or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 0 (0%). Fylde itself held the lead in 0. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 0 of 1.
Forest Green Rovers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 16 (32%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 25 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 50 (64%). Away: 16 of its 25 (64%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 8 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Forest Green Rovers's own 50 matches read: Forest Green Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Forest Green Rovers itself held the lead in 17, winning 17. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
Built 00:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.