Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 80% of their games, both teams scoring in 80%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Fylde: 5 league matches in the bank. Worthing: 5 league matches in the bank.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Fylde's numbers over its games, Worthing's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Fylde's own 2 home matches read, one appeared in 1 (50%). In Worthing's own 2 away matches read, 1 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Fylde -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 4 of its own 5 (80%); over 1.5 in 5 (100%); over 3.5 in 3 (60%). At home: over 2.5 in 1 of its 2 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 4 of its own 5 (80%). At home: 1 of its 2 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 1 of its own 5 (20%); failed to score in 0 (0%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Fylde's own 5 matches read: Fylde or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 2 (40%). Fylde itself held the lead in 2, winning 2. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 1 of 2.
Worthing -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 4 of its own 5 (80%); over 1.5 in 4 (80%); over 3.5 in 3 (60%). Away: over 2.5 in 2 of its 2 (100%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 4 of its own 5 (80%). Away: 2 of its 2 (100%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 1 of its own 5 (20%); failed to score in 0 (0%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Worthing's own 5 matches read: Worthing or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 2 (40%). Worthing itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 1 of 2.
Built 06:10 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.