-0.50 points a game is the venue form gap, in AFC Hornchurch's favour: Worthing takes 1.00 a game at home over the last two seasons, AFC Hornchurch 1.50 away.
Worthing: 7 league matches in the bank. AFC Hornchurch: 7 league matches in the bank.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Worthing -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 1, drew 1, lost 2 of 4, scoring 6 and conceding 7.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Barrow 2-2 at home; drew with Fylde 2-2 away; lost to Boreham Wood 2-3 at home; lost to Tamworth 2-3 away; beat Wealdstone 1-0 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 7 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Adam Hinshelwood. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
AFC Hornchurch -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 2, drew 0, lost 2 of 4, scoring 6 and conceding 10.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Halifax Town 0-3 away; lost to Forest Green Rovers 0-1 at home; beat Boston United 3-2 away; beat Woking 1-0 at home; lost to Carlisle United 1-4 away.
The dugout
Every one of the 7 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Daryl McMahon. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 07:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.