+0.54 points a game is the venue form gap, in Tamworth's favour: Tamworth takes 1.71 a game at home over the last two seasons, Sutton United 1.17 away.
Tamworth: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Sutton United: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Tamworth -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 2, drew 1, lost 1 of 4, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Last season at home: won 10, drew 4, lost 6 of 20, scoring 30 and conceding 21 -- 1.70 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Aldershot Town 1-5 away; beat Wealdstone 2-1 at home; lost to Southend United 1-3 away; lost to Harrogate Town 1-3 away; drew with Boston United 2-2 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 21 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Andy Peaks. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Sutton United -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 2, drew 1, lost 1 of 4, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Last season away: won 5, drew 6, lost 9 of 20, scoring 24 and conceding 31 -- 1.05 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Forest Green Rovers 3-3 at home; drew with Halifax Town 1-1 away; beat Eastleigh 2-1 at home; lost to Scunthorpe United 0-2 at home; lost to Barrow 0-3 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 3 different managers took its 19 matches with one recorded (12, 5, 2 apiece), most recently Chris Agutter with 12. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 19:01 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.