+0.28 points a game is the venue form gap, in Worthing's favour: Worthing takes 1.86 a game at home over the last two seasons, Southend United 1.58 away.
Worthing: 14 league matches in the bank. Southend United: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Worthing -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 4, drew 1, lost 2 of 7, scoring 14 and conceding 8.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Kidderminster Harriers 2-1 away; beat Solihull Moors 5-0 at home; beat Gateshead 2-1 away; drew with Yeovil Town 1-1 away; beat Halifax Town 2-1 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 14 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Adam Hinshelwood. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Southend United -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 4, drew 3, lost 0 of 7, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Last season away: won 7, drew 5, lost 7 of 19, scoring 33 and conceding 23 -- 1.37 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Halifax Town 2-2 at home; beat Boston United 2-1 away; beat Fylde 3-1 at home; drew with Eastleigh 1-1 away; lost to Barrow 2-4 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 11 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Kevin Maher. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 10:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.