Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 42% of their games, both teams scoring in 36%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Dunfermline Athletic: 39 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Raith Rovers: 39 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Dunfermline Athletic's numbers over its games, Raith Rovers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Dunfermline Athletic's own 19 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (47%). In Raith Rovers's own 19 away matches read, 10 (53%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Dunfermline Athletic -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 39 (44%); over 1.5 in 29 (74%); over 3.5 in 11 (28%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 19 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 14 of its own 39 (36%). At home: 7 of its 19 (37%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 39 (41%); failed to score in 13 (33%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dunfermline Athletic's own 39 matches read: Dunfermline Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (56%). Dunfermline Athletic itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 19.
Raith Rovers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 39 (41%); over 1.5 in 30 (77%); over 3.5 in 7 (18%). Away: over 2.5 in 6 of its 19 (32%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 14 of its own 39 (36%). Away: 5 of its 19 (26%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 39 (41%); failed to score in 16 (41%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Raith Rovers's own 39 matches read: Raith Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (62%). Raith Rovers itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 19.
Built 00:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.