Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 39% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 38%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Partick Thistle: 40 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Ayr United: 40 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Partick Thistle's numbers over its games, Ayr United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Partick Thistle's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (40%). In Ayr United's own 20 away matches read, 7 (35%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 38% of games.
The two sides
Partick Thistle -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 40 (40%); over 1.5 in 29 (72%); over 3.5 in 10 (25%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 20 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 40 (55%). At home: 10 of its 20 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 40 (40%); failed to score in 8 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Partick Thistle's own 40 matches read: Partick Thistle or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (40%). Partick Thistle itself held the lead in 11, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 20.
Ayr United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 15 of its own 40 (38%); over 1.5 in 29 (72%); over 3.5 in 6 (15%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 20 (45%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 40 (60%). Away: 13 of its 20 (65%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 40 (22%); failed to score in 11 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Ayr United's own 40 matches read: Ayr United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 12 (30%). Ayr United itself held the lead in 6, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 20.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.