Stenhousemuir scores heaviest in the 46-60 spell and concedes heaviest in 46-60; Partick Thistle scores heaviest in 1-15 and concedes heaviest in 61-75.
Stenhousemuir: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One. Partick Thistle: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Stenhousemuir scores most in the 46-60 band (15 of 58); Stenhousemuir concedes most in the 46-60 band (8 of 29); Partick Thistle scores most in the 1-15 band (14 of 58); Partick Thistle concedes most in the 61-75 band (8 of 37). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Stenhousemuir -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.4 and concedes 0.7 a game over its last 41 league matches; at home, 1.8 for and 0.7 against over 20.
When it scores
Of 58 scored across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 10; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 15; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 13.
When it concedes
Of 29 conceded across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 6; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 3; 76-90+: 5.
The first goal
Scored first in 27 of its 41 read -- then won 21, drew 5, lost 1; conceded first in 10 -- pulled back 1 win and 5 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 8 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 13 of its 41 read, winning 12 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing 2 results; was ahead at some point without winning in 6.
Partick Thistle -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.4 and concedes 0.9 a game over its last 41 league matches; away, 1.2 for and 1.2 against over 20.
When it scores
Of 58 scored across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 14; 16-30: 10; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 14. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 14 of 58 (24%).
When it concedes
Of 37 conceded across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 6.
The first goal
Scored first in 23 of its 41 read -- then won 15, drew 7, lost 1; conceded first in 12 -- pulled back 5 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 20 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 11 of its 41 read, winning 10 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 9.
Built 07:32 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.