Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 35% of their games, both teams scoring in 46%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 45%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Stenhousemuir: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One. Partick Thistle: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Stenhousemuir's numbers over its games, Partick Thistle's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Stenhousemuir's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (50%). In Partick Thistle's own 20 away matches read, 8 (40%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 45% of games.
The two sides
Stenhousemuir -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 13 of its own 41 (32%); over 1.5 in 27 (66%); over 3.5 in 9 (22%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 20 (45%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 41 (39%). At home: 9 of its 20 (45%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 41 (51%); failed to score in 8 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stenhousemuir's own 41 matches read: Stenhousemuir or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (44%). Stenhousemuir itself held the lead in 13, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 20.
Partick Thistle -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 41 (39%); over 1.5 in 29 (71%); over 3.5 in 10 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 8 of its 20 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 41 (54%). Away: 12 of its 20 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 41 (41%); failed to score in 8 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Partick Thistle's own 41 matches read: Partick Thistle or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (39%). Partick Thistle itself held the lead in 11, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 20.
Built 07:32 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.