Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 49% of their games, both teams scoring in 46%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 62%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Raith Rovers: 43 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Livingston: 45 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Premiership.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Raith Rovers's numbers over its games, Livingston's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Raith Rovers's own 21 home matches read, one appeared in 15 (71%). In Livingston's own 23 away matches read, 12 (52%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 62% of games.
The two sides
Raith Rovers -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 43 (40%); over 1.5 in 32 (74%); over 3.5 in 8 (19%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 21 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 14 of its own 43 (33%). At home: 9 of its 21 (43%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 43 (44%); failed to score in 18 (42%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Raith Rovers's own 43 matches read: Raith Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (60%). Raith Rovers itself held the lead in 12, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 21.
Livingston -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 45 (58%); over 1.5 in 37 (82%); over 3.5 in 17 (38%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 45 (60%). Away: 10 of its 23 (43%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 45 (13%); failed to score in 15 (33%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Livingston's own 45 matches read: Livingston or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (49%). Livingston itself held the lead in 6, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 23.
Built 18:33 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.