Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 48%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 51%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Dunfermline Athletic: 44 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season. Livingston: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Premiership.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Dunfermline Athletic's numbers over its games, Livingston's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Dunfermline Athletic's own 21 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (48%). In Livingston's own 24 away matches read, 13 (54%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 51% of games.
The two sides
Dunfermline Athletic -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 44 (39%); over 1.5 in 32 (73%); over 3.5 in 11 (25%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 21 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 44 (36%). At home: 7 of its 21 (33%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 44 (43%); failed to score in 13 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dunfermline Athletic's own 44 matches read: Dunfermline Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (52%). Dunfermline Athletic itself held the lead in 11, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 21.
Livingston -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 48 (58%); over 1.5 in 40 (83%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 48 (60%). Away: 10 of its 24 (42%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 48 (15%); failed to score in 15 (31%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Livingston's own 48 matches read: Livingston or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (48%). Livingston itself held the lead in 7, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.