Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 42% of their games, both teams scoring in 49%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Inverness CT: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One. Arbroath: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Inverness CT's numbers over its games, Arbroath's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Inverness CT's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (57%). In Arbroath's own 23 away matches read, 9 (39%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Inverness CT -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 46 (39%); over 1.5 in 34 (74%); over 3.5 in 12 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 23 (43%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 46 (48%). At home: 11 of its 23 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 22 of its own 46 (48%); failed to score in 6 (13%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Inverness CT's own 46 matches read: Inverness CT or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (46%). Inverness CT itself held the lead in 17, winning 17. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 23.
Arbroath -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 46 (46%); over 1.5 in 31 (67%); over 3.5 in 8 (17%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 23 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 46 (50%). Away: 9 of its 23 (39%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 46 (26%); failed to score in 18 (39%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Arbroath's own 46 matches read: Arbroath or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (41%). Arbroath itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 23.
Built 03:22 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.