Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 33% of their games, both teams scoring in 36%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 49%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Stenhousemuir: 47 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One. Dunfermline Athletic: 47 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Stenhousemuir's numbers over its games, Dunfermline Athletic's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Stenhousemuir's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (43%). In Dunfermline Athletic's own 24 away matches read, 13 (54%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 49% of games.
The two sides
Stenhousemuir -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 14 of its own 47 (30%); over 1.5 in 30 (64%); over 3.5 in 9 (19%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 23 (39%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 17 of its own 47 (36%). At home: 10 of its 23 (43%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 24 of its own 47 (51%); failed to score in 10 (21%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stenhousemuir's own 47 matches read: Stenhousemuir or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (43%). Stenhousemuir itself held the lead in 13, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 23.
Dunfermline Athletic -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 47 (36%); over 1.5 in 33 (70%); over 3.5 in 11 (23%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 24 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 17 of its own 47 (36%). Away: 9 of its 24 (38%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 47 (45%); failed to score in 14 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dunfermline Athletic's own 47 matches read: Dunfermline Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (49%). Dunfermline Athletic itself held the lead in 11, winning 11. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24.
Built 09:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.