Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 41% of their games, both teams scoring in 38%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 35%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Cove Rangers: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Alloa Athletic: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Cove Rangers's numbers over its games, Alloa Athletic's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Cove Rangers's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (30%). In Alloa Athletic's own 20 away matches read, 8 (40%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 35% of games.
The two sides
Cove Rangers -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 41 (41%); over 1.5 in 27 (66%); over 3.5 in 8 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 7 of its 20 (35%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 15 of its own 41 (37%). At home: 7 of its 20 (35%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 41 (27%); failed to score in 20 (49%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Cove Rangers's own 40 matches read: Cove Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (40%). Cove Rangers itself held the lead in 7, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 20.
Alloa Athletic -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 41 (41%); over 1.5 in 26 (63%); over 3.5 in 8 (20%). Away: over 2.5 in 7 of its 20 (35%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 41 (39%). Away: 7 of its 20 (35%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 41 (41%); failed to score in 12 (29%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Alloa Athletic's own 41 matches read: Alloa Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (41%). Alloa Athletic itself held the lead in 12, winning 11. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 20.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.