East Kilbride scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 1-15; Hamilton Academical scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 46-60.
East Kilbride: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League Two. Hamilton Academical: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: East Kilbride scores most in the 31-45+ band (22 of 86); East Kilbride concedes most in the 1-15 band (11 of 54); Hamilton Academical scores most in the 76-90+ band (13 of 64); Hamilton Academical concedes most in the 46-60 band (12 of 43). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
East Kilbride -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 2.1 and concedes 1.3 a game over its last 41 league matches; at home, 2.5 for and 1.2 against over 20.
When it scores
Of 86 scored across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 13; 16-30: 15; 31-45+: 22; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 14; 76-90+: 12.
When it concedes
Of 54 conceded across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 11. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 11 of 54 (20%).
The first goal
Scored first in 24 of its 41 read -- then won 18, drew 5, lost 1; conceded first in 17 -- pulled back 5 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 18 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 22 of its 41 read, winning 21 of them; trailed by two in 9, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 7.
Hamilton Academical -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.0 a game over its last 41 league matches; away, 1.6 for and 1.4 against over 20.
When it scores
Of 64 scored across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 11; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 13. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 13 of 64 (20%).
When it concedes
Of 43 conceded across its own 41 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 6.
The first goal
Scored first in 24 of its 41 read -- then won 20, drew 2, lost 2; conceded first in 13 -- pulled back 0 wins and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 2 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 15 of its 41 read, winning 14 of them; trailed by two in 7, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 4.
Built 03:28 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.