Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 62% of their games, both teams scoring in 48%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 72%. On the record this leans a goals match.
East Kilbride: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League Two. Hamilton Academical: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- East Kilbride's numbers over its games, Hamilton Academical's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In East Kilbride's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 17 (85%). In Hamilton Academical's own 20 away matches read, 12 (60%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 72% of games.
The two sides
East Kilbride -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 41 (68%); over 1.5 in 38 (93%); over 3.5 in 20 (49%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 20 (75%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 41 (59%). At home: 11 of its 20 (55%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 41 (27%); failed to score in 6 (15%).
Two goals clear
Counted over East Kilbride's own 41 matches read: East Kilbride or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 31 (76%). East Kilbride itself held the lead in 22, winning 21. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 17 of 20.
Hamilton Academical -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 41 (56%); over 1.5 in 29 (71%); over 3.5 in 14 (34%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 20 (70%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 15 of its own 41 (37%). Away: 8 of its 20 (40%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 41 (46%); failed to score in 11 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hamilton Academical's own 41 matches read: Hamilton Academical or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (54%). Hamilton Academical itself held the lead in 15, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 20.
Built 03:28 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.