Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 49%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 43%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Queen of the South: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Ross County: 45 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Queen of the South's numbers over its games, Ross County's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queen of the South's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (48%). In Ross County's own 23 away matches read, 9 (39%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 43% of games.
The two sides
Queen of the South -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 46 (52%); over 1.5 in 41 (89%); over 3.5 in 15 (33%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 46 (59%). At home: 14 of its 23 (61%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 46 (22%); failed to score in 10 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Queen of the South's own 46 matches read: Queen of the South or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (54%). Queen of the South itself held the lead in 12, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 23.
Ross County -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 45 (56%); over 1.5 in 33 (73%); over 3.5 in 17 (38%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 23 (43%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 18 of its own 45 (40%). Away: 8 of its 23 (35%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 15 of its own 45 (33%); failed to score in 16 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Ross County's own 45 matches read: Ross County or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (53%). Ross County itself held the lead in 14, winning 11. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 23.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.