Ross County scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Hamilton Academical scores heaviest in 16-30 and concedes heaviest in 46-60.
Ross County: 47 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship. Hamilton Academical: 47 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Ross County scores most in the 76-90+ band (16 of 77); Ross County concedes most in the 76-90+ band (16 of 63); Hamilton Academical scores most in the 16-30 band (14 of 78); Hamilton Academical concedes most in the 46-60 band (13 of 47). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Ross County -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.3 a game over its last 47 league matches; at home, 2.0 for and 1.3 against over 23.
When it scores
Of 77 scored across its own 47 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 14; 16-30: 13; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 11; 76-90+: 16. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 16 of 77 (21%).
When it concedes
Of 63 conceded across its own 47 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 16. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 16 of 63 (25%).
The first goal
Scored first in 24 of its 47 read -- then won 18, drew 4, lost 2; conceded first in 19 -- pulled back 0 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 4 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 16 of its 47 read, winning 13 of them; trailed by two in 10, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 7.
Hamilton Academical -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.7 and concedes 1.0 a game over its last 47 league matches; away, 1.7 for and 1.2 against over 23.
When it scores
Of 78 scored across its own 47 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 14; 31-45+: 14; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 14. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 14 of 78 (18%).
When it concedes
Of 47 conceded across its own 47 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 13; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 7.
The first goal
Scored first in 29 of its 47 read -- then won 25, drew 2, lost 2; conceded first in 14 -- pulled back 1 win and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 5 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 18 of its 47 read, winning 17 of them; trailed by two in 7, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 4.
Built 02:23 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.