Ross County v Hamilton Academical

Scottish League One, game week 7 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 59% of their games, both teams scoring in 40%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 63%. On the record this leans a goals match.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Ross County: 47 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship. Hamilton Academical: 47 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Ross County's numbers over its games, Hamilton Academical's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Ross County's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 16 (70%). In Hamilton Academical's own 23 away matches read, 13 (57%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 63% of games.

The two sides

Ross County -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 47 (57%); over 1.5 in 35 (74%); over 3.5 in 19 (40%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 23 (70%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 47 (40%). At home: 10 of its 23 (43%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 47 (34%); failed to score in 16 (34%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Ross County's own 47 matches read: Ross County or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (55%). Ross County itself held the lead in 16, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 16 of 23.

Hamilton Academical -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 47 (60%); over 1.5 in 34 (72%); over 3.5 in 15 (32%). Away: over 2.5 in 16 of its 23 (70%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 47 (40%). Away: 9 of its 23 (39%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 47 (45%); failed to score in 11 (23%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hamilton Academical's own 47 matches read: Hamilton Academical or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (53%). Hamilton Academical itself held the lead in 18, winning 17. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 23.

Built 02:23 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.