+0.60 points a game is the venue form gap, in Forfar Athletic's favour: Forfar Athletic takes 1.90 a game at home over the last two seasons, Stranraer 1.30 away.
Forfar Athletic: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Stranraer: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Forfar Athletic -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 2, drew 0, lost 0 of 2, scoring 4 and conceding 0. Last season at home: won 9, drew 5, lost 4 of 18, scoring 30 and conceding 21 -- 1.78 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Edinburgh City 1-1 away; lost to Clyde 0-3 away; beat Stirling Albion 3-0 at home; drew with Elgin City 1-1 away; beat Kelty Hearts 1-0 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 15 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Jim Weir. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Stranraer -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 0, drew 1, lost 1 of 2, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Last season away: won 7, drew 4, lost 7 of 18, scoring 24 and conceding 23 -- 1.39 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Kelty Hearts 2-0 at home; drew with Stirling Albion 2-2 away; beat Spartans 1-0 at home; lost to Annan Athletic 0-1 at home; lost to Clyde 1-3 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 16 matches with one recorded (14, 2 apiece), most recently Scott Agnew with 14. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 06:38 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.