Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 45%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Forfar Athletic: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Stranraer: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Forfar Athletic's numbers over its games, Stranraer's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Forfar Athletic's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (45%). In Stranraer's own 20 away matches read, 9 (45%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 45% of games.
The two sides
Forfar Athletic -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 41 (49%); over 1.5 in 30 (73%); over 3.5 in 12 (29%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 20 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 41 (51%). At home: 10 of its 20 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 41 (32%); failed to score in 10 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Forfar Athletic's own 41 matches read: Forfar Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (44%). Forfar Athletic itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 20.
Stranraer -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 41 (46%); over 1.5 in 31 (76%); over 3.5 in 11 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 20 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 41 (63%). Away: 12 of its 20 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 41 (17%); failed to score in 10 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stranraer's own 41 matches read: Stranraer or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 14 (34%). Stranraer itself held the lead in 7, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 20.
Built 06:38 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.