Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 49%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Kelty Hearts: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One. Forfar Athletic: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Kelty Hearts's numbers over its games, Forfar Athletic's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Kelty Hearts's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (55%). In Forfar Athletic's own 23 away matches read, 10 (43%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 49% of games.
The two sides
Kelty Hearts -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 46 (54%); over 1.5 in 39 (85%); over 3.5 in 13 (28%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 22 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 46 (57%). At home: 12 of its 22 (55%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 46 (13%); failed to score in 16 (35%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Kelty Hearts's own 46 matches read: Kelty Hearts or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (54%). Kelty Hearts itself held the lead in 8, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 22.
Forfar Athletic -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 46 (52%); over 1.5 in 34 (74%); over 3.5 in 13 (28%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 46 (52%). Away: 13 of its 23 (57%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 46 (30%); failed to score in 11 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Forfar Athletic's own 46 matches read: Forfar Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (43%). Forfar Athletic itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 23.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.