Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 49%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Dundee United: 43 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Falkirk: 42 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Dundee United's numbers over its games, Falkirk's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Dundee United's own 21 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (38%). In Falkirk's own 20 away matches read, 12 (60%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 49% of games.
The two sides
Dundee United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 43 (51%); over 1.5 in 39 (91%); over 3.5 in 15 (35%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 21 (43%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 43 (51%). At home: 10 of its 21 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 43 (19%); failed to score in 16 (37%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dundee United's own 43 matches read: Dundee United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (51%). Dundee United itself held the lead in 9, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 21.
Falkirk -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 42 (57%); over 1.5 in 31 (74%); over 3.5 in 13 (31%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 20 (55%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 42 (52%). Away: 7 of its 20 (35%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 42 (24%); failed to score in 13 (31%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Falkirk's own 42 matches read: Falkirk or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (52%). Falkirk itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 20.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.