Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 45%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
St. Johnstone: 40 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship. Hibernian: 42 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- St. Johnstone's numbers over its games, Hibernian's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In St. Johnstone's own 19 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (42%). In Hibernian's own 21 away matches read, 10 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 45% of games.
The two sides
St. Johnstone -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 40 (48%); over 1.5 in 27 (68%); over 3.5 in 12 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 19 (53%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 18 of its own 40 (45%). At home: 8 of its 19 (42%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 40 (50%); failed to score in 8 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over St. Johnstone's own 40 matches read: St. Johnstone or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (45%). St. Johnstone itself held the lead in 15, winning 15. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 19.
Hibernian -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 42 (60%); over 1.5 in 33 (79%); over 3.5 in 12 (29%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 21 (62%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 42 (57%). Away: 13 of its 21 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 42 (26%); failed to score in 11 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hibernian's own 42 matches read: Hibernian or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (50%). Hibernian itself held the lead in 15, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 21.
Built 06:40 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.