Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 62% of their games, both teams scoring in 64%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 32%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Tottenham Hotspur Women: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Aston Villa Ladies: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Tottenham Hotspur Women's numbers over its games, Aston Villa Ladies's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Tottenham Hotspur Women's own 12 home matches read, one appeared in 4 (33%). In Aston Villa Ladies's own 13 away matches read, 4 (31%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 32% of games.
The two sides
Tottenham Hotspur Women -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 15 of its own 25 (60%); over 1.5 in 19 (76%); over 3.5 in 8 (32%). At home: over 2.5 in 6 of its 12 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 15 of its own 25 (60%). At home: 6 of its 12 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 25 (28%); failed to score in 5 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Tottenham Hotspur Women's own 25 matches read: Tottenham Hotspur Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 13 (52%). Tottenham Hotspur Women itself held the lead in 7, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 12.
Aston Villa Ladies -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 25 (64%); over 1.5 in 21 (84%); over 3.5 in 9 (36%). Away: over 2.5 in 7 of its 13 (54%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 17 of its own 25 (68%). Away: 10 of its 13 (77%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 25 (24%); failed to score in 5 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Aston Villa Ladies's own 25 matches read: Aston Villa Ladies or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 12 (48%). Aston Villa Ladies itself held the lead in 2, winning 2. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 13.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.