Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 58% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 33%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Manchester United Women: 31 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Crystal Palace Ladies: 31 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season in the Women's Championship.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Manchester United Women's numbers over its games, Crystal Palace Ladies's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Manchester United Women's own 15 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (40%). In Crystal Palace Ladies's own 15 away matches read, 4 (27%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 33% of games.
The two sides
Manchester United Women -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 31 (52%); over 1.5 in 22 (71%); over 3.5 in 9 (29%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 15 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 31 (52%). At home: 9 of its 15 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 31 (32%); failed to score in 10 (32%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Manchester United Women's own 31 matches read: Manchester United Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 15 (48%). Manchester United Women itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 15.
Crystal Palace Ladies -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 31 (65%); over 1.5 in 23 (74%); over 3.5 in 12 (39%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 15 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 20 of its own 31 (65%). Away: 11 of its 15 (73%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 31 (26%); failed to score in 5 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Crystal Palace Ladies's own 31 matches read: Crystal Palace Ladies or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 12 (39%). Crystal Palace Ladies itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 15.
Built 13:34 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.