Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games, both teams scoring in 63%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 46%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Leicester City: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship. Oxford United: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Leicester City's numbers over its games, Oxford United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Leicester City's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (52%). In Oxford United's own 25 away matches read, 10 (40%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 46% of games.
The two sides
Leicester City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 50 (52%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 35 of its own 50 (70%). At home: 17 of its 25 (68%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 50 (16%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Leicester City's own 50 matches read: Leicester City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (40%). Leicester City itself held the lead in 9, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25.
Oxford United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 49 (49%); over 1.5 in 34 (69%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 49 (55%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 49 (16%); failed to score in 19 (39%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Oxford United's own 49 matches read: Oxford United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (35%). Oxford United itself held the lead in 8, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.