Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 46% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 56%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Motherwell: 41 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Dundee United: 42 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Motherwell's numbers over its games, Dundee United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Motherwell's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (50%). In Dundee United's own 21 away matches read, 13 (62%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 56% of games.
The two sides
Motherwell -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 41 (41%); over 1.5 in 31 (76%); over 3.5 in 12 (29%). At home: over 2.5 in 6 of its 20 (30%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 20 of its own 41 (49%). At home: 7 of its 20 (35%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 41 (46%); failed to score in 8 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Motherwell's own 41 matches read: Motherwell or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (44%). Motherwell itself held the lead in 15, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 20.
Dundee United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 42 (50%); over 1.5 in 38 (90%); over 3.5 in 15 (36%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 21 (57%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 42 (52%). Away: 12 of its 21 (57%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 42 (19%); failed to score in 15 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dundee United's own 42 matches read: Dundee United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (50%). Dundee United itself held the lead in 9, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 21.
Built 06:34 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.